SatEvo decay list #96 (issued 2000 March 31) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 May 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,000 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 18590 71- 15 DJ Cosmos 397 deb March 18.5 25965 99- 62 E Glblstar 29 Soyuz r March 19.78 15977 85- 74 A Molniya 1-64 March 22.23 24389 94- 29 QS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22.9 24143 94- 29 GS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 23.4 11331 79- 32 A Cosmos 1093 March 23.80 24112 94- 29 FK STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 24.5 20854 90- 81 S FY-1B CZ deb March 25.26 20919 90- 93 B Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r March 26.25 19028 69- 82 LC Thorad Agena D deb March 26.3 24618 94- 29 ZW STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 26.5 24358 94- 29 PK STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 28.2 24139 94- 29 GN STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29.4 17630 81- 53 LC Cosmos 1275 deb March 30.4 Note 1 26112 99- 57 D CBERS LM4 deb March 31.1 Note 1 25393 98- 42 E Tubsat N SSN-23 deb March 31.4 Note 1 22457 92- 93 EW Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb March 31.7 25709 89-100 BE Cosmos 2053 Tsyklon deb April 1 24150 94- 29 GZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 2 24314 96- 55 B Echostar 2 Ariane 42P r April 3 5714 68- 91 CB Cosmos 249 deb April 6 20966 90-104 A Cosmos 2106 April 7 24062 94- 29 DK STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 8 20968 90- 81 CA FY-1B CZ deb April 11 24342 94- 29 NT STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 11 23417 94- 77 H Cosmos 2297 deb April 12 25137 98- 2 D Skynet 4D Delta deb April 12 16084 79- 17 AM Solwind deb April 13 24540 94- 29 WQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 13 24879 96- 51 K Cosmos 2333 Zenit deb April 13 25223 87- 68 BA Meteor 2-16 Tsyklon deb April 13 19435 86- 19 UY Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 20 20704 90- 54 E Gorizont 20 aux motor April 20 25906 93- 59 J Cosmos 2263 Proton deb April 21 15983 85- 74 D Molniya 1-64 r2 April 23 22482 92- 93 FX Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 23 24686 94- 29 AAU STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 24 17201 86- 19 BD Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 25 4601 70- 25 D Thorad Agena D deb April 26 20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 April 26? 24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28 25056 64- 26 J Transit 9 deb April 28 Note 2 13577 78- 26 FQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb April 30 23834 96- 19 B GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1 May 1 22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 2 22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda May 3 24033 94- 29 CE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 3 5021 70- 89 X Cosmos 374 deb May 4 24153 94- 29 HC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 4 24579 94- 29 YF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6 4029 61- 15 JR Transit 4A deb May 8 22412 92- 93 DD Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 9 23996 94- 29 AR STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 9 3962 68- 91 BW Cosmos 249 deb May 10 24187 94- 29 JN STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 11 13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 12 26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 12 603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 15 26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 15 25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 19 10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 20 22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 22 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 5 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 10 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 10 24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 10 16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor June 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 July 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) August 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot September 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor September 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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