Decay watch: 2002 December 9

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Dec 09 2002 - 16:18:12 EST

  • Next message: Ted Molczan: "TJM obs of 2002 Dec 09 UTC and elements"

    More updates from my Decay Watch page. Check the page for predicted 
    elsets.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #22658 = 93- 32 B = GPS 2-20 Delta 2 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec  9 03:19     Dec  8 18:04 +-1m         0.6 S    34.1 W
    SatEvo     Dec  8 16:00     Dec  8 18:29 +-80m       19.9 N    76.6 E
    
    Final elset:
    GPS 2-20 r1      5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   13       160 x 155 km
    1 22658U 93032B   02342.56211806  .07881791 -18176-4  36452-3 0  7068
    2 22658  21.8959 316.6259 0003769 189.6528 127.0394 16.43142674526552
    
    Note: No further elsets appeared, so my final pre-decay prediction
    stands. I show it decaying southbound over India on the following
    rev:
    GPS 2-20 r1      5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   13       127 x 125 km
    1 22658U 93032B   02342.75098304  .94600835  18269+2  47125-3 0 97066
    2 22658  21.8945 315.0107 0001676 192.5292 167.4666 16.55127756526588
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25694 = 99- 21 B = Uosat cover
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec  8 23:43     Dec 11 21:39 +-2d         0.9 S    27.5 E
    SatEvo     Dec  9 20:45     Dec 12 04:24 +-18h
    
    Latest elset:
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       279 x 256 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02343.54864607  .02561892  61182-2  46218-2 0  2358
    2 25694  64.5090  81.3217 0016885 326.3026  33.7149 16.02505266198721
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27517 = 02- 42 C = DRTS H-2A r
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec  8 16:46     Dec 11 13:29 +-2d         1.9 S   127.4 E
    SatEvo     Dec  9 20:55     Dec 11 21:36 +-16h
    
    Latest elset:
    DRTS r DPAdpt    1.5  3.0  0.0  6.0 d    5       265 x 254 km
    1 27517U 02042C   02343.49303333  .02663681  72594-2  39625-2 0  1440
    2 27517  30.3918 241.4138 0008443 261.4068  98.5630 16.05383069 14060
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27541 = 02- 48 B = Integral Proton rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec  8 20:09     Dec  8 20:00 +-7m        50.0 S   104.0 E
    SatEvo     Dec  9 21:00     Dec  8 19:50 +-20m       40.7 S    40.7 E
    
    Final elset:
    Integral r1      6.0  2.5  0.0  4.0 d   20       134 x 106 km
    1 27541U 02048B   02342.80192164  .54845307  12970-4  18195-3 0  1386
    2 27541  51.5404 192.9660 0021072 284.4798 165.5855 16.57457182  8309
    
    Note: I show this decaying over the SW Indian Ocean following a
    pass across Botswana and South Africa.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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