Updates for my Decay watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #17131 = 86- 19 AA = Spot 1 rocket deb AA
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 7 04:22 Dec 8 04:36 +-15h 3.4 S 95.2 E
SatEvo Dec 7 15:15 Dec 8 00:08 +-4h 0.0 162.0 E
Latest elset:
Spot 1 r AA 2.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 d 2.9 237 x 227 km
1 17131U 86019AA 02341.48184238 .05578447 15027+0 71652-2 0 4379
2 17131 97.8429 59.8246 0007402 302.1493 57.9189 16.15426920718666
SatEvo prediction: See Decay watch page.
(ends)
Spot 1 r AA 2.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 d 2.9 190 x 185 km
1 17131U 86019AA 02341.91373554 .44786481 14411+1 85983-2 0 94378
2 17131 97.8371 60.3472 0003583 300.4123 59.5523 16.31942548718732
Spot 1 r AA 2.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 d 2.9 167 x 164 km
1 17131U 86019AA 02341.97492493 1.16921411 13183+2 92426-2 0 94378
2 17131 97.8345 60.4226 0002258 300.1613 59.8163 16.40280027718741
Note: I estimate that this will decay over the western Pacific Ocean
near the southbound equator crossing on the final predicted rev above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22658 = 93- 32 B = GPS 2-20 Delta 2 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 6 22:23 Dec 8 16:50 +-1d 16.3 N 33.2 E
SatEvo Dec 7 15:25 Dec 8 11:47 +-6h 21.9 S 33.6 W
Latest elset:
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 200 x 193 km
1 22658U 93032B 02341.53229509 .04003381 -17503-4 92794-3 0 6974
2 22658 21.9238 325.2039 0005439 58.7365 301.3656 16.28581285526394
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 159 x 155 km
1 22658U 93032B 02342.32575393 .24236191 55485+0 10857-2 0 96979
2 22658 21.9218 318.5502 0002537 70.5817 289.4456 16.43369601526524
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 148 x 146 km
1 22658U 93032B 02342.38638411 .43014194 20286+1 93018-3 0 96977
2 22658 21.9213 318.0339 0001958 71.5010 288.5201 16.47200177526539
Note: My estimate has this decaying near southern apex on the orbit
following the final predicted rev above, placing it over the Atlantic
to the east of Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27541 = 02- 48 B = Integral Proton rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 6 20:26 Dec 8 20:47 +-1d 51.1 N 94.6 W
SatEvo Dec 7 15:40 Dec 9 01:29 +-12h
Latest elset:
Integral r1 6.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 d 20 250 x 147 km
1 27541U 02048B 02341.38237002 .04037055 12046-4 28052-3 0 1294
2 27541 51.5378 200.9637 0078351 279.6207 79.6842 16.27909536 8073
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Dec 07 2002 - 11:01:42 EST